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See live prediction market odds

Here's how to check prediction market odds with ChatGPT or Claude: live Polymarket prices on elections, launches or aliens, money traded and when each closes.

  1. 01

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  2. 02

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    @Firecrawl What are the odds the US confirms aliens exist this year? Use Alexandria to check the live prediction markets: the yes price, how much money is traded and when it closes.

    Open in ChatGPT with this prompt
  3. 03

    What came back

    Claude Code (Claude Opus 5.5) sent back, word for word:

    Traders put it at about 4%. I checked Polymarket's live data through Firecrawl Alexandria, and its main market, "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?", trades at about 4.25¢ for "Yes."

    Before 2027 (main market)By October 31
    Yes price4.25¢ (bid 4.2¢ / ask 4.3¢, last trade 4.3¢) → ~4%0.55¢ → ~0.5%
    Total traded~$42.3M~$1.0M
    Traded in the last 24h~$86K~$15K
    Liquidity~$535K~$240K
    ClosesDec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ETOct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
    • What counts as "Yes": the President, a Cabinet member, a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff or any US federal agency has to state definitively that extraterrestrial life or technology exists. Hearings, whistleblowers or UAP reports without that statement don't count.
    • Bigger picture: the whole event has traded about $74.4M across all its deadlines. The March, April, May, June and September markets all closed at "No," with about $31M traded between them.
    • Related market: "Trump declassifies new UFO files by Nov 30?" is at about 81% "Yes." That's a much easier bar than confirming aliens exist, and only about $3K has been traded on it.

    These prices were pulled on Oct 20, 2026 and will move.

    Sources usedRan Oct 20, 2026

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