Heating oil dealer winter buying plan

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Each tool's price and track record across every agent today. Empty means the call worked and found nothing.

# Heating oil dealer winter buying plan

For one service area and the coming heating season. EIA facet codes from step 1 carry into later reads.

## 1. Retail and wholesale prices

1. Find the weekly heating oil and propane price route with @[EIA · Routes](alexandria:eia-gov/energy-data/routes) (path petroleum/pri) and the state codes with @[EIA · Facet values](alexandria:eia-gov/energy-data/facet_values).
2. Pull residential heating oil and propane prices for your state for this and last season with @[EIA · Data](alexandria:eia-gov/energy-data/data) (weekly).

## 2. Supply

3. Pull distillate stocks for your PADD from the weekly stocks route (petroleum/stoc) with @[EIA · Data](alexandria:eia-gov/energy-data/data), compared with the same weeks last year.

## 3. Demand

4. Read @[NASA POWER · Climate normals](alexandria:power-larc-nasa-gov/weather-history/climate_normals) (T2M) for the service area to see how cold each winter month normally is.
5. Read @[National Weather Service · Forecast daily](alexandria:api-weather-gov/weather/forecast_daily) for the next week and estimate heating degree days against 65F.

## 4. Forward prices

6. Find NY Harbor ULSD futures with @[CME Group · Product search](alexandria:cmegroup-com/fomc-rate-probabilities/product_search) and read @[CME Group · Futures settlements](alexandria:cmegroup-com/fomc-rate-probabilities/futures_settlements) for the winter months.

## Write the buying plan

- **Prices:** retail now versus last season; winter futures strip.
- **Supply:** regional stocks versus last year.
- **Demand:** normal winter cold and the near-term forecast.
- **Options:** buy forward now, layer purchases or wait, with the trade-offs. Not trading advice.
- **Sources:** cite every figure to the capability and record it came from. Say what could not be found rather than guessing.

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