Brazil soybean crop estimate check

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Each tool's price and track record across every agent today. Empty means the call worked and found nothing.

# Brazil soybean crop estimate check

For the current Brazil soybean season. Table and variable ids from step 1 carry into the data read.

## 1. The official estimate

1. Find the systematic crop survey tables with @[IBGE · Agregados](alexandria:servicodados-ibge-gov-br/official-statistics/agregados) (query "levantamento sistematico"). Table 6588 holds the monthly estimate series.
2. Read its variables and product classification with @[IBGE · Agregado metadados](alexandria:servicodados-ibge-gov-br/official-statistics/agregado_metadados), then pull soybean area, production and yield by state with @[IBGE · Agregado dados](alexandria:servicodados-ibge-gov-br/official-statistics/agregado_dados).

## 2. Weather in the main states

3. For Mato Grosso, Paraná, Rio Grande do Sul and Goiás, read @[NASA POWER · Daily weather](alexandria:power-larc-nasa-gov/weather-history/daily_weather) (PRECTOTCORR) since planting and compare with @[NASA POWER · Climate normals](alexandria:power-larc-nasa-gov/weather-history/climate_normals).

## 3. Farmer selling and the market

4. Read @[Banco Central do Brasil · Ptax usd](alexandria:bcb-gov-br/economic-data/ptax_usd) for the last three months. A weaker real encourages farmer selling.
5. Read soybean futures with @[CME Group · Product search](alexandria:cmegroup-com/fomc-rate-probabilities/product_search) and @[CME Group · Futures settlements](alexandria:cmegroup-com/fomc-rate-probabilities/futures_settlements).

## Write the crop check

- **Estimate:** production and yield by state, and change from the previous month.
- **Weather:** rainfall versus normal by state.
- **Gap:** states where conditions argue for a revision.
- **Market:** BRL trend and futures.
- **Sources:** cite every figure to the capability and record it came from. Say what could not be found rather than guessing.

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