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CME Group FedWatch and market data

CME FedWatch market-implied FOMC rate probabilities (the QuikStrike tool embedded on cmegroup.com: current view and per-meeting daily probability history), CME Group's public CmeWS market data JSON (delayed futures quotes, daily settlements, volume and open interest, contract specifications, product search, CME Term SOFR / SOFR average rates) and CME Globex trading hours: per-product per-date preopen/open/close events in U.S. Central for any past or future window (holiday schedules included), the upcoming holiday calendar, and a filterable product listing with hours.

16 Firecrawl tools use CME Group FedWatch and market data
Try in Agent
Show CME FedWatch’s probabilities of easing, no change and a hike for the next FOMC meeting, including the data-as-of date and comparisons with a week ago.

Try CME Group FedWatch and market data now.

Choose an example or ask your own question.

CME Group FedWatch and market data
TRY ASKING
1Request

This capability takes no inputs. Run it to see what it returns.

5 credits
Codefollows the fields above
const result = await firecrawl.scrape({
  alexandria: {
    provider: "cmegroup-com",
    capability: "fomc-rate-probabilities/fedwatch_meetings",
    options: {},
  },
});
2Response example

This is a sample shape. Press Run to see live data from CME Group FedWatch and market data.

{
  "data_as_of": "1 Oct 2026 09:22:55 CT",
  "meetings": [
    {
      "index": 0,
      "label": "28 Oct26",
      "meeting_date": "2026-10-28",
      "selected": true
    },
    {
      "index": 1,
      "label": "9 Dec26",
      "meeting_date": "2026-12-09",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 2,
      "label": "27 Jan27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-01-27",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 3,
      "label": "17 Mar27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-03-17",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 4,
      "label": "28 Apr27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-04-28",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 5,
      "label": "9 Jun27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-06-09",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 6,
      "label": "28 Jul27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-07-28",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 7,
      "label": "15 Sep27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-09-15",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 8,
      "label": "27 Oct27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-10-27",
      "selected": false
    },
    {
      "index": 9,
      "label": "8 Dec27",
      "meeting_date": "2027-12-08",
      "selected": false
    }
  ],
  "note": "1/1/2028 and forward are projected meeting dates",
  "observed_at_ms": 1790908465011,
  "selected_meeting": {
    "comparison_dates": {
      "one_day": "2026-09-30",
      "one_month": "2026-09-01",
      "one_week": "2026-09-24"
    },
    "contract": "ZQV6",
    "current_target_range_bps": "375-400",
    "expires": "2026-10-30",
    "index": 0,
    "meeting_date": "2026-10-28",
    "mid_price": 96.1163,
    "prior_open_interest": 714879,
    "prior_volume": 107328,
    "probabilities_pct": {
      "ease": 0,
      "hike": 24.9,
      "no_change": 75.1
    },
    "target_rates": [
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "100-125"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "125-150"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "150-175"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "175-200"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "200-225"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "225-250"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "250-275"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "275-300"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "300-325"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "325-350"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 23.3,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "350-375"
      },
      {
        "current": true,
        "now_pct": 75.1,
        "one_day_pct": 62.4,
        "one_month_pct": 57.3,
        "one_week_pct": 31.4,
        "range_bps": "375-400"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 24.9,
        "one_day_pct": 37.6,
        "one_month_pct": 19.3,
        "one_week_pct": 68.6,
        "range_bps": "400-425"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "425-450"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "450-475"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "475-500"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": 0,
        "one_day_pct": 0,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": 0,
        "range_bps": "500-525"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "525-550"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "550-575"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "575-600"
      },
      {
        "current": false,
        "now_pct": null,
        "one_day_pct": null,
        "one_month_pct": 0,
        "one_week_pct": null,
        "range_bps": "600-625"
      }
    ]
  },
  "source_url": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html"
}

Firecrawl tools

16

Ready-made Firecrawl tools that call CME Group FedWatch and market data.

Uses CME Group FedWatch and market data, CFTC Commitments of Traders, ACIS (NOAA Regional Climate Centers), US Energy Information AdministrationCountry elevator bid sheet checkUse when a grain merchandiser at a country elevator is setting the daily cash bid and basis for corn or soybeans. Reads nearby and new-crop futures settlements and volume, fund positioning, rainfall in the draw area that affects harvest pace, and diesel prices that drive trucking cost, then explains where basis should sit.7 toolsOpen
Uses CME Group FedWatch and market data, FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), ACIS (NOAA Regional Climate Centers), Element 84 Earth Search (Sentinel-2 L2A)Farm operating loan stress testUse when an agricultural loan officer is renewing a farm operating line and wants to stress the borrower's crop revenue. Reads futures prices for the borrower's crops, the interest rate path, season rainfall against normal at the farm, and satellite vegetation indices on key fields, then frames downside scenarios.5 toolsOpen
Uses CME Group FedWatch and market data, CFTC Commitments of Traders, NASA POWERFeedlot placement margin checkUse when a feedlot cattle buyer is deciding whether to place feeder cattle now. Reads feeder and live cattle futures for the placement and finish months, corn futures for feed cost, fund positioning in cattle, and pasture conditions in cow-calf regions that drive feeder supply, then lays out the margin inputs.6 toolsOpen
Uses CME Group FedWatch and market data, CFTC Commitments of Traders, NASA POWER, fredGrain sale timing checkUse when a grain farmer or elevator merchandiser is deciding whether to sell, store or hedge corn, soybeans or wheat this month. Reads the futures curve, how speculative funds are positioned, how the growing season looks across the main producing region, and the dollar, then lays out the case for selling now versus storing.7 toolsOpen
Uses CME Group FedWatch and market data, Polymarket, Federal Reserve Board, fredFOMC odds cross-checkUse in the days before a Federal Reserve meeting, when someone asks what the market expects. Compares futures-implied FedWatch probabilities with prediction market prices and with what Fed officials have said since the last meeting, against the latest inflation and jobs data, producing a preview that names where the three disagree.7 toolsOpen
Uses US Energy Information Administration, CME Group FedWatch and market data, CFTC Commitments of TradersDiesel procurement hedge checkUse when a fuel procurement manager for a trucking or delivery fleet is deciding whether to lock in diesel prices. Reads retail diesel by region, distillate inventories, the ULSD futures curve and fund positioning, then sets out whether the market looks tight and what locking in now would mean against the curve.7 toolsOpen
Uses US Energy Information Administration, CME Group FedWatch and market data, CFTC Commitments of TradersWeekly crude balance and positioningUse when a crude oil trader or oil analyst is reading the weekly EIA petroleum status numbers and wants them in one view with prices and positioning. Reads commercial and Cushing crude stocks against last year, WTI and Brent spot, the futures curve shape and managed money positions, then says whether the data and positioning agree.7 toolsOpen
Uses CFTC Commitments of Traders, CME Group FedWatch and market data, Forex Factory economic calendarCrowded commodity positioning checkUse before a commodity trader or hedge fund analyst adds to a futures position and wants to know whether speculators are already crowded on the same side. Reads managed money positioning from the CFTC disaggregated report, the price curve and volume at CME, and the next scheduled data releases, producing a crowding score and squeeze risk note.6 toolsOpen
Uses fred, US Energy Information Administration, CME Group FedWatch and market dataFertilizer-to-grain affordability checkUse before booking fall or spring fertilizer when a farmer, co-op agronomist or ag lender asks whether nitrogen is cheap or dear relative to the crop it grows. Reads the fertilizer producer price index, the natural gas price that drives nitrogen cost, and the grain futures strip, and reports the price ratio and its trend with a buy-now or wait lean.6 toolsOpen

Benchmarks

Finance benchmarks

Quality, speed and cost, last 24 hours, across every agent call to CME Group FedWatch and market data through Alexandria.

Quality
99.1%
Calls answered without a tool error
Speed
1.4 s
95% of successful calls finish faster
Cost
5 credits
Firecrawl credits per call
Calls
226
Last 24 hours, every Alexandria user
Quality and speed of each tool, last 24 hours
ToolQualitySpeedCalls
Fedwatch meetings98.6%1.9 s70
Futures volume100%617 ms38
Product search100%1.4 s33
Futures settlements96.8%876 ms31
Futures quotes100%1.1 s22

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